Rent regulation: Difference between revisions

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== Overview ==
== Overview ==


'''"Rent regulation''' is a system of [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law laws], administered by a court or a public authority, which aim to ensure the quality and affordability of housing and tenancies on the rental market for land. Comprehensive rent regulation is common in [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commonwealth Commonwealth] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union European Union] countries, including [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rent_regulation_in_Canada Canada], Germany, Ireland, Cyprus and Sweden, and also some states in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States United States]. Generally a system of rent regulation involves:
'''"Rent regulation''' is a system of laws, administered by a court or a public authority, which aim to ensure the quality and affordability of housing and tenancies on the rental market for land. Comprehensive rent regulation is common in Commonwealth and European Union countries, including Canada, Germany, Ireland, Cyprus and Sweden, and also some states in the United States. Generally a system of rent regulation involves:


*[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_controls price controls], limits on the rent that landlord may charge, with '''rent control''' and '''[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rent_stabilization rent stabilization]'''
*price controls: limits on the rent that landlord may charge, with '''rent control''' or '''rent stabilization''' (rents can change more flexible and/or upon change of tenant). 
*standards by which a landlord may terminate a tenancy (an equivalent of [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unfair_dismissal unfair dismissal] from employment in tenancies)
*standards by which a landlord may terminate a tenancy (an equivalent of [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unfair_dismissal unfair dismissal] from employment in tenancies)
*obligations on the landlord or tenant regarding adequate maintenance of the property
*obligations on the landlord or tenant regarding adequate maintenance of the property
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The classic objective is to limit the price that would result from the market, where an&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inequality_of_bargaining_power inequality of bargaining power]&nbsp;between&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landlord landlords]&nbsp;and&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leasehold_estate tenants]&nbsp;produces continually escalating prices without any stable&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_equilibrium market equilibrium]."<br/> - Wikipedia, "Rent regulation."&nbsp;
The classic objective is to limit the price that would result from the market, where an&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inequality_of_bargaining_power inequality of bargaining power]&nbsp;between&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landlord landlords]&nbsp;and&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leasehold_estate tenants]&nbsp;produces continually escalating prices without any stable&nbsp;[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_equilibrium market equilibrium]."<br/> - Wikipedia, "Rent regulation."&nbsp;

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== <br/> Price regulation variant forms ==
== <br/> Price regulation variant forms ==
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##change based on political/regulatory decision, e.g. municipal Rent Board decision.<br/> ''[when permitted rent change is adjustable this way, and/or it is unregulated upon vacancy, the system is sometimes called 'modern' or 'second-generation' rent controls.]''
##change based on political/regulatory decision, e.g. municipal Rent Board decision.<br/> ''[when permitted rent change is adjustable this way, and/or it is unregulated upon vacancy, the system is sometimes called 'modern' or 'second-generation' rent controls.]''
##possibly (and typically), other changes are permitted by landlord petition or e.g. to "pass through" expenses such as tax increase or renovation costs.
##possibly (and typically), other changes are permitted by landlord petition or e.g. to "pass through" expenses such as tax increase or renovation costs.



#Control of permitted rent change during change of tenant
#Control of permitted rent change during change of tenant
##same as within a tenant's tenure, in one of the ways above.<br/> ''&nbsp;[sometimes referred to as 'strong' rent control].&nbsp;''
##same as within a tenant's tenure, in one of the ways above.<br/> ''&nbsp;[sometimes referred to as 'strong' rent control].&nbsp;''
##unregulated, i.e. "resets to market rate," aka there is&nbsp;''vacancy decontrol.&nbsp;''
##unregulated, i.e. "resets to market rate," aka there is&nbsp;''vacancy decontrol.&nbsp;''



#Regulation of which and when units may fall under or exist price regulation. Price regulation may apply:&nbsp;
#Regulation of which and when units may fall under or exist price regulation. Price regulation may apply:&nbsp;
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####conversion to "Tenancy in Common" (TIC) unit, i.e. shared ownership.&nbsp;&nbsp;
####conversion to "Tenancy in Common" (TIC) unit, i.e. shared ownership.&nbsp;&nbsp;





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###when unit rent increases above a certain point. (called "luxury decontrol" in NYC rent stablization law).&nbsp;
###when unit rent increases above a certain point. (called "luxury decontrol" in NYC rent stablization law).&nbsp;
###landlord buy-out of tenant.
###landlord buy-out of tenant.
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Key total benefit/loss figures from this paper seem to have changed by large factors across the three versions of this working paper so far released, which are linked and excerpted below.&nbsp;
Key total benefit/loss figures from this paper seem to have changed by large factors across the three versions of this working paper so far released, which are linked and excerpted below.&nbsp;
<blockquote>from: Joe Rivano Barros‏ @jrivanob 10:38 AM - 30 Jan 2018<br/> "Can someone who's paid closer attention to this than I tell me why Stanford study changed results from $5B in losses from rent control to $2.9B & from $7B in gains from rent control to $2.9B? That change makes the losses and gains cancel out where they didn't before. c/@tmccormick."&nbsp;</blockquote>
<blockquote>
from: Joe Rivano Barros‏ @jrivanob 10:38 AM - 30 Jan 2018<br/> "Can someone who's paid closer attention to this than I tell me why Stanford study changed results from $5B in losses from rent control to $2.9B & from $7B in gains from rent control to $2.9B? That change makes the losses and gains cancel out where they didn't before. c/@tmccormick."&nbsp;
</blockquote>
We reviewed the paper versions he cites from September 26 and November 29, and also one from October 11. It appears to me, that the change results from a recalculation of both the estimated welfare benefits and welfare losses into the same Present Discounted Value terms. (Whereas before people were e.g. taking a figure of $423M/yr benefit and multiplying by 17 years of study period to get $7.19B in benefit).&nbsp;
We reviewed the paper versions he cites from September 26 and November 29, and also one from October 11. It appears to me, that the change results from a recalculation of both the estimated welfare benefits and welfare losses into the same Present Discounted Value terms. (Whereas before people were e.g. taking a figure of $423M/yr benefit and multiplying by 17 years of study period to get $7.19B in benefit).&nbsp;


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*29 November 2017 version. [https://drive.google.com/open?id=13pzS8XOAHXgvWdT6ddeoFy123Y_hoJ4y PDF].&nbsp;<br/> Abstract:<br/> "In this paper, we exploit quasi-experimental variation in the assignment of rent control in San Francisco to study its impacts on tenants, landlords, and the rental market as a whole. Leveraging new micro data which tracks an individual's migration over time, we fi􏰁nd that rent control increased the probability a renter stayed at their address by close to 20 percent. At the same time, we 􏰁find that landlords whose properties were exogenously covered by rent control reduced their supply of available rental housing by 15%, by either converting to condos/TICs, selling to owner occupied, or redeveloping buildings. This led to a city-wide rent increase of 5.1% and caused $2.9 billion of total loss to renters. We develop a dynamic, structural model of neighborhood choice to evaluate the welfare impacts of our reduced form eff􏰀ects. We 􏰁nd that rent control o􏰀ffered large bene􏰁fits to impacted tenants during the 1995-2012 period, averaging between $2300 and $6600 per person each year, with the present discounted value of aggregate benefi􏰁ts totaling $2.9 billion. The substantial welfare losses due to decreased housing supply could be mitigated if insurance against large rent increases was provided as a form of government social insurance, instead of a regulated mandate on landlords."<br/> <br/> "We fi􏰁nd that rent control off􏰀ered large bene􏰁fits to impacted tenants during the 1995-2012 period, averaging between $2300 and $6600 per person each year, with aggregate bene􏰁fits totaling over $214 million annually, with present discounted value of $2.9 billion. These e􏰀ffects are counterbalanced by landlords reducing supply in response to the introduction of the law. We conclude that this led to a city-wide rent increase of 5.1%. At a discount rate of 5%, this has a present discounted value of $2.9 billion dollars lost by tenents."
*29 November 2017 version. [https://drive.google.com/open?id=13pzS8XOAHXgvWdT6ddeoFy123Y_hoJ4y PDF].&nbsp;<br/> Abstract:<br/> "In this paper, we exploit quasi-experimental variation in the assignment of rent control in San Francisco to study its impacts on tenants, landlords, and the rental market as a whole. Leveraging new micro data which tracks an individual's migration over time, we fi􏰁nd that rent control increased the probability a renter stayed at their address by close to 20 percent. At the same time, we 􏰁find that landlords whose properties were exogenously covered by rent control reduced their supply of available rental housing by 15%, by either converting to condos/TICs, selling to owner occupied, or redeveloping buildings. This led to a city-wide rent increase of 5.1% and caused $2.9 billion of total loss to renters. We develop a dynamic, structural model of neighborhood choice to evaluate the welfare impacts of our reduced form eff􏰀ects. We 􏰁nd that rent control o􏰀ffered large bene􏰁fits to impacted tenants during the 1995-2012 period, averaging between $2300 and $6600 per person each year, with the present discounted value of aggregate benefi􏰁ts totaling $2.9 billion. The substantial welfare losses due to decreased housing supply could be mitigated if insurance against large rent increases was provided as a form of government social insurance, instead of a regulated mandate on landlords."<br/> <br/> "We fi􏰁nd that rent control off􏰀ered large bene􏰁fits to impacted tenants during the 1995-2012 period, averaging between $2300 and $6600 per person each year, with aggregate bene􏰁fits totaling over $214 million annually, with present discounted value of $2.9 billion. These e􏰀ffects are counterbalanced by landlords reducing supply in response to the introduction of the law. We conclude that this led to a city-wide rent increase of 5.1%. At a discount rate of 5%, this has a present discounted value of $2.9 billion dollars lost by tenents."


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== California 'Costa-Hawkins' law repeal initiative ==
== California 'Costa-Hawkins' law repeal initiative ==